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The India Gambit

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Things with India are getting weird.

India has found itself in a difficult strategic situation, one that was not altogether predictable at the beginning of the year. In January 2025 there was every reason to expect that relations between India and the United States would develop into a major partnership. President Trump and Prime Minister Modi have similar ideological outlooks.

The Trump administration has made geopolitical competition with China a key pillar of its foreign policy, a position that seemed destined to make a partnership with India attractive to Washington. Finally, Trump suggested deepening the US-India arms and technology relationship by exporting advanced military equipment to India.

But somewhere things went dreadfully wrong. President Trump has promised to levy severe trade sanctions on New Delhi, throwing India’s economy and strategic outlook into chaos. What happened?

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Photo credit: (Osaka – Japão, 28/06/2019) Presidente da República, Jair Bolsonaro, durante foto de família dos Líderes dos BRICS. Foto: Alan Santos / PR

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