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The Great Switcheroo?

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Not obvious that anyone is in control of Trump administration foreign policy:

Russia launched a major volley of drones and missiles at Ukraine overnight on Wednesday, soon after President Trump had sharply criticized President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia for taking only “meaningless” steps toward peace in settlement talks.

Explosions rattled cities and towns mostly in central and western Ukraine where the attack seemed to target airfields and military logistical sites. Booms and antiaircraft machine-gun fire was also heard in the capital, Kyiv.

The attack came the night after Mr. Trump had made his latest flip-flop on his approach to the war, saying on Monday that because Ukraine was “getting hit very hard” in Russian attacks, he would resume a delivery of weapons that his administration had paused only last week.

American officials had said they would pause the shipment to conduct a worldwide review of U.S. military readiness. As of Tuesday night, after Mr. Trump had changed his mind, that shipment, consisting of 30 Patriot missiles and other munitions, was in Poland, waiting to cross the border, officials said.

Looks like Elbridge Colby is the source of some of the confusion:

Elbridge Colby spent the last several years in Washington making a name for himself as an experienced, restraint-minded foreign policy leader eager to focus the U.S. military away from Europe and toward the Indo-Pacific.

But since joining the second Trump administration as the Pentagon’s top policy chief, Colby has made a series of rapid-fire moves that have blindsided parts of the White House and frustrated several of America’s foreign allies, according to seven people familiar with the situation. All were granted anonymity to speak freely about Trump administration dynamics.

Flanked by a team of handpicked policy experts and staff from Capitol Hill, Colby has gotten out ahead of the administration on several major foreign policy decisions.

He prompted last week’s decision, first reported by POLITICO, to halt shipments of some air defense missiles to Ukraine, which caught many Trump allies and lawmakers off guard. This week, President Donald Trump said he would reverse the decision to pause the weapons but claimed he did not know who had approved it.

The idea that Bridge Colby represented “restraint,” despite his key policy preference being “we need a new Cold War against China and I’m not particular about keeping it cold” is something that could only emerge from the Restraint Lobby’s infatuation with letting Russia burn Ukraine to the ground. But anyway… I suppose that the best we can hope for at this point is that Putin will goad Trump into doing the right thing re: Kyiv. That’s not much of a hope but it’s something…

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