I Earnestly Advise Republicans To Pour Their Marginal Resources Into Pennsylvannia
The wingnutosphere is very very excited about Mittens coming on in Pennsylvania, based on a single poll tailored to the specifications of a winger newspaper. And while it’s true that serious projections show Romney very close to drawing dead in Pennsylvania, Real Clear Politics shows the state as a toss up. Wow, who to believe? Well, you may want to consider that among the states RCP had leaning slightly towards Bush in 2000 were California, Illinois, and Maine. And, of course, Pennsylvania.
It must be said, however, that the corrupt skewed mainstream polls probably aren’t accounting for the fact that Romney will get 20% of the African-American vote.
Mittens coming on Pennsylvania
Ew. I didn’t need to wake up to that.
Me neither. Bad enough that NYC is being deluged today. Hope Mitt wore his raincoat.
And brought his rubbers.
Wouldn’t do for PA to give birth to a little New Jersey. Definitely, he should bring rubbers.
For those young folks out there, before Griswold v. CT, when your mother told you to put on your rubbers, she meant to protect your shoes from from the rain, and not STD’s and paternity suits.
Fixed to alleviate potential nightmares.
Thank you.
Can’t wait to see him speaking from the back of a flatbed to adoring crowds in Tioga and Strawberry Mansion.
The wingnuts should be excited as this election is looking a lot closer today then it did two weeks ago. Romney looks like he has a real shot now. But of course they will overdo it.
It’s just semantics. RCP’s own polls show Obama up 5 points in PA yet they label that a toss-up. Meanwhile, Nate Silver gives Obama a 4.5 point lead and says that gives Obama a 90% chance of winning the state.
A 4.5 point lead across a number of polls is more robust than a 5 point lead in one poll.
I don’t get why anyone takes RCP seriously. They have a long track record of fluffing Republican chances.
Repubs are easily fooled, again and again. You know that!
Often, grifters’ best marks are other grifters.
You can’t cheat an honest man.
Eh, their methodology is to basically just average the last couple polls. That’s not a perfect methodology, and there’s quite a few areas where bias can enter into even such a simple method, (and even setting aside bias it leads to very volatile predictions, which facilitates those who want to cherry pick) but it’s decent enough to be respectable.
I have no idea what they were smoking in 2000, but their predictions have been broadly in line with everyone else in the elections I’ve been paying attention to them in.
Michigan Republicans assure me that Romney’s going to win here, too.
Also, I think Mittens can take his home state of
New HampshireUtahCaliforniaMassachusetts.I know for an absolute fact he’s going to sweep the Cayman Islands.
or wait twenty years, and let climate change do the rest…