The Future of China’s Economy
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This is my last month with the Diplomat; a few words later on what comes next. But for now, some ruminations on the future of the Chinese economy…
When will China’s economy surpass that of the United States in aggregate terms? A recent Bloomberg article estimated the point of China’s overtaking of the United States at between 2031 and “never.” The magnitude and growth of the Chinese economy have immense global implications, and it is worth taking some time to unpack our beliefs about Chinese growth and its international consequences.