That this was eminently predictable doesn’t make it less disturbing:
In a late night speech from the White House, President Trump declared the plan he has been openly signaling for weeks: He hopes to steal the 2020 election by prematurely declaring himself the winner and halting the tabulation of outstanding ballots that, if counted, would give Joe Biden a strong chance of victory.
Trump’s argument is simple and farcical. In states where Trump trails, like Arizona, he urges that more votes should be counted and that he will probably win. (Fox News has called Arizona for Biden, a projection that was followed up around 3 a.m. by the Associated Press.) In states where Trump leads, no more votes should be counted. Trump on Georgia, where his opponent is slightly favored to pull ahead by projections: “They’re never gonna catch us, they can’t catch us.” There is no principle here more sophisticated than “heads I win, tails you lose.”
“We were getting ready for a big celebration … all of a sudden it was just called off,” the president complained, when “a very sad group of people is trying to disenfranchise that group of people [who supported him]. We won’t stand for it … We were winning everything and all of a sudden it was just called off.” This is a completely fantastical description bearing no relation to what happened. As analysts have predicted for weeks, late-arriving ballots favored Joe Biden, and have eaten into Trump’s early lead.
Biden apparently carrying Arizona makes this less likely to work — but not impossible. If it comes down to PA we are in a very, very dark place for American democracy. Remember too that despite the awful polls Biden is still likely to get something like a 5 point popular vote win; it’s outrageous that the election is potentially within stealable margins.