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Victory in Omaha

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On May 14, 2025
Here's a solid sign going forward. A Democrat, John Ewing Jr., appeared on track to win Omaha’s mayoral race on Tuesday, unofficial county results showed, a victory that would end a long period of Republican leadership in a politically divided city that has outsize importance...

Special Elections

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On March 27, 2025

Speaking of Republican frittering away special elections, a single race for the Pennsylvania legislature does not mean much, but combined with other data points, this is quite significant. A Democrat.

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Follow the Special Elections

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In General
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On January 20, 2024
LINCOLN, RI - OCTOBER 14: Voters were directed to cast ballots inside at Lincoln Town Hall in Lincoln, RI on Oct. 13, 2020. Voters cast ballots in the first day of early voting in Rhode Island. (Photo by Lane Turner/The Boston Globe via Getty Images)...
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The Sky Is Not Falling

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In General
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On February 7, 2018
In one of the comment threads last week, commenters were flipping out because of one weird Monmouth poll that showed a significant improvement in Republican polling numbers. And yes, Republican poll numbers have improved slightly from their depths a couple of months ago. But let's...
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