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Author: Robert Farley

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This sounds fine. Iran projected defiance in the face of expanding U.S.-Israeli attacks on Monday by naming a son of its slain supreme leader as his successor, disregarding warnings from the Trump administration, while a surge in oil prices signaled growing alarm over the war’s...
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Skepticism about the use of Kurds as proxies: The Trump administration should abandon any plans to arm Iranian Kurdish forces before the first fighter crosses the Iraqi-Iranian border. Not refine it. Not sequence it more carefully. Drop it entirely. The operation will not topple the...
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Bro: A Kuwaiti F/A-18 fighter jet was the cause of the accidental shootdown of three American F-15s on Sunday, according to three people familiar with initial reports of the incident. One F/A-18 pilot launched three missiles against the U.S. aircraft, according to a U.S. official....
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Still upset but decided to go a bit more analytical for my follow up thoughts on Iran. With respect to the prospects for regime change, I have my doubts. Airpower has a limited capacity to destroy a political system.  This means that airstrikes can destroy targets associated...

Realism. Restraint.

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On February 28, 2026

Peace is raining down upon Iran! https://twitter.com/GOP/status/1853537733479686309?s=20 Tough to get a sense yet of the targets, but the general sense on X (Bluesky is literally useless at times like this).

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