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Author: Robert Farley

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Bro: A Kuwaiti F/A-18 fighter jet was the cause of the accidental shootdown of three American F-15s on Sunday, according to three people familiar with initial reports of the incident. One F/A-18 pilot launched three missiles against the U.S. aircraft, according to a U.S. official....
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Still upset but decided to go a bit more analytical for my follow up thoughts on Iran. With respect to the prospects for regime change, I have my doubts. Airpower has a limited capacity to destroy a political system.  This means that airstrikes can destroy targets associated...

Realism. Restraint.

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On February 28, 2026

Peace is raining down upon Iran! https://twitter.com/GOP/status/1853537733479686309?s=20 Tough to get a sense yet of the targets, but the general sense on X (Bluesky is literally useless at times like this).

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Battleships!

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In General
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On February 23, 2026
Yesterday afternoon I appeared on Midrats to talk battleships. Terrific discussion, lots of skepticism about whether and why these things will be built, along with some detailed noodling on some of the relevant technologies and how they might mature. Some links we talked about: Strategic...
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