Cease-Fire?!?
By 
Well this is just sad.
This is what happens when people who have no experience negotiating cease-fires try to negotiate a cease-fire.
Anyway, some brief thoughts on what we can learn by comparing the Russia-Ukraine air campaigns with the Israeli campaign against Iran:
Yet neither Russia nor Ukraine has had much success in pushing past the first three rings. Neither side’s efforts have made a decisive impact on the enemy. Russia’s air campaign against Ukraine has thus far failed to noticeably dent morale among civilians or on the capacity of Ukraine to maintain fighting forces in the field. Russia can kill random civilians in Kharkiv and Kyiv at will, but these deaths haven’t hurt Ukrainians’ willingness to fight. Ukraine’s drone campaign has inflicted serious attrition on Russian forces but hasn’t induced strategic paralysis or anything approaching regime collapse.
By contrast, the Israeli campaign has been spectacularly successful across an entire range of targets. A combination of drones and manned aircraft have struck Iranian forces in the field, infrastructure, organic essentials (the nuclear program), and even Iranian leadership figures. The recent U.S. strikes have similarly hit the nuclear program—although there are still many as-yet-unanswerable questions as to how damaging the impact was.
Long story short, both technology and force employment matter. The IDF has trained to defeat air defenses (which neither the Russians nor the Ukrainians have) and has a significant technological edge (while the Russia-Ukraine situation is far more balanced). Be skeptical of efforts to derive lessons from either conflict… but nevertheless pay close attention to efforts to derive lessons.
Photo Credit: By Oren Rozen – Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=15743612