Ukraine Update
By 
Haven’t done one of these in a while, partially because of end-of-the-semester exhaustion and partially because I’m still wrestling with my views on the course of the war… I am quoted briefly in this Reuters piece on the air war over Ukraine:
“It locks Ukraine onto a technological path that NATO is currently on,” said Robert Farley, a professor at the University of Kentucky who specializes in military affairs and airpower. “What Ukraine has now is a dead end; It’s not going anywhere. If you want to have an air force in 10 years, it’s going to have to be F-16s or something similar.”
- Russians have been saving up missiles.
- Ukraine’s quest for justice for Russian war crimes.
- The complications of Ukrainian elections…
- India edging back towards Moscow…
- Thoughts on winning and losing…
- Russian Black Sea Fleet keeps getting smaller, and more underwater.
As for the course of the war… I have more doubts than ever about Ukraine’s capacity to retake the bulk of the territory that Russia currently controls. At the same time, Ukraine is imposing immense costs upon Russia for continuing the war. I do (more on this later) think that it’s time to start contemplating the conditions under which Russia and Ukraine could each accept a ceasefire, if not an enduring peace agreement.