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The Gerontocrats

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Bouie in the Times puts his finger on the problem of the moment:

What’s missing from party leaders, an absence that is endlessly frustrating to younger liberals, is any sense of urgency and crisis — any sense that our system is on the brink. Despite mounting threats to the right to vote, the right to an abortion and the ability of the federal government to act proactively in the public interest, senior Democrats continue to act as if American politics is back to business as usual.

Earlier this year at the National Prayer Breakfast, to give another example, President Biden praised Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell as a “man of your word” and a “man of honor.”

“Thank you for being my friend,” said Biden to a man who is almost singularly responsible for the destruction of the Senate as a functional lawmaking body and whose chief accomplishment in public life is the creation of a far-right Supreme Court majority that is now poised to roll American jurisprudence back to the 19th century.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is similarly enamored of this rhetoric of bipartisan comity in the face of a Republican Party whose members are caught in the grip of a cult of personality marked by conspiratorial thinking and an open contempt for electoral democracy.

“It might come as a surprise to some of you that the president I quote most often is President Reagan,” Pelosi said at the ribbon-cutting for the Washington branch of the Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation and Institute: “The good humor of our president was really a tonic for the nation, the gentleman that he was.”

And last month, she told an audience in Miami that she wants a “strong Republican Party” that can return to where it was when it “cared about a woman’s right to choose” and “cared about the environment.” Of course, the ideologically moderate Republican Party that Pelosi seems to want resurrected was largely dead by the time she entered national politics in the late 1970s, bludgeoned into submission with the notable help of Ronald Reagan, among other figures.

I’m basically not interested in whether these gestures are sincere or purely rhetorical, because even if we assume they’re the latter, it’s terrible rhetoric that serves no practical purpose other than to enrage and demoralize Democrats who aren’t wearing onions on their belts.

Try to imagine any Republican leader saying anything even vaguely similar about Biden or Pelosi or Bill Clinton. Then consider this piece from the usually reliable Robert Reich, who argues for Liz Cheney as possibly the ideal president for America in 2025. (Reich says he’ll “probably” back Biden instead, but he’s thinking about it!).

Bouie cites historian Jefferson Cowie for the idea that the problem with the Democratic party’s gerontocracy is that they grew up in a vanished and historically idiosyncratic world:

In “The Great Exception: The New Deal and the Limits of American Politics,” Cowie argues for an interpretation of the United States in the 20th century that treats the New Deal era, from the administration of Franklin Roosevelt to the 1970s, as a “sustained deviation from some of the main contours of American political practice, economic structure, and cultural outlook.”

The Great Depression and World War II may have “forced clear realignments of American politics and class relations,” Cowie writes, “but those changes were less the linear triumph of the welfare state than the product of very specific, and short-lived, historical circumstances.”

If this is true — if the New Deal was the product of highly contingent circumstances unlikely to be repeated either now or in the future — then the challenge for those committed to the notion of a government that protects and expands the collective economic rights of the American people is to forge a new vision for what that might be. “The path forward is not clear,” Cowie writes, “but whatever successful incarnation of a liberal ‘social imaginary’ might follow will not look like the New Deal, and it might best to free ourselves from the notion that it will.”

I think you can apply a similar “great exception” analysis to the decades of institutional stability and orderly partisan competition that shaped the current generation of Democratic leaders, including the president and many of his closest allies.

They came into national politics in an age of bipartisan consensus and centrist policymaking, at a time when the parties and their coalitions were less ideological and more geographically varied. But this too was a historical aberration, the result of political and social dynamics — such as the broad prosperity of the industrial economic order at home — that were already well in decline by the time that Biden, Pelosi, Feinstein and others first took office.

American politics since then has reverted to an earlier state of heightened division, partisanship and fierce electoral competition. Even the authoritarianism on display in the Republican Party has antecedents in the behavior of Southern political elites at the end of the 19th century and the beginning of the 20th.

Millions of Democratic voters can see and feel that American politics has changed in profound ways since at least the 1990s, and they want their leaders to act, and react, accordingly.

Standing in the way of this demand, unfortunately, is the stubborn — and ultimately ruinous — optimism of some of the most powerful people in the Democratic Party.

This argument is reminiscent of the basic thesis of Piketty’s Capital in the 21st Century, which argues for the view that the the decades immediately after the Great Depression and World War II represent not any kind of normalcy, but rather a deeply idiosyncratic period, historically speaking, in which, to put it in terms less elegant than Piketty’s Gallicisms, the Lords of Capital had had the living shit scared out of them, and for a generation or so tolerated a much higher level of social democracy across the developed world than they had been willing to to entertain before or since.

On this view, Biden, Pelosi, Feinstein, and much of the rest of the leadership structure of the Democratic party continue to live in a world that has vanished and isn’t ever coming back. They are congenitally incapable of understanding the true nature of the rough beast that is slouching toward Washington to be born, while all around it reel shadows of the indignant left wing blogs.

In other words they’re acting like your typical 80something, who may well be still sharp as a tack and charming and funny and full of the wisdom that comes from experience, but who in psychological terms inhabits a world that doesn’t exist any more.

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