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Here we go

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The US has intelligence indicating orders have been sent to Russian commanders to proceed with an attack on Ukraine, according to two US officials and another source familiar with the US intelligence.

The intelligence regarding the order to tactical commanders and intelligence operatives is one of several indicators the US is watching to assess if Russian preparations have entered their final stages for a potential invasion.

Other indicators, such as electronic jamming and widespread cyberattacks, have not yet been observed, according to some of the sources. The sources cautioned that orders can always be withdrawn or that it could be misinformation meant to confuse and mislead the US and allies.

But the news of the intelligence comes after President Biden said on Friday that he believes Putin has “made the decision” to invade — a comment echoed by Vice President Kamala Harris and by Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Sunday. Blinken said the Russian playbook is “moving forward.”

Something that isn’t getting enough attention in this country at the moment is that launching an invasion on the basis of obviously spurious claims of preventative self-defense undermines one’s status when another country does the same thing a few years later.

The most fundamental rule of contemporary international law is that aggressive war isn’t permitted under any circumstances. It’s still rather stunning how completely this fact was ignored two decades ago, when the Bush administration was unleashing a fire hose-like torrent of lies every day about Weapons of Mass Destruction ™.

Of course all of this merely underlines how utterly indefensible Putin’s attack on a neighboring country really is, although to be fair fans of authoritarian violence from Palm Beach to Rio will at least be consistent in having supported both invasions.

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