LGM 2012 Electoral Vote Challenge
In keeping LGM’s long history of pointless competition community building, let me announce the 2012 LGM Electoral Vote Challenge. To enter, create a map here, copy the unique URL (through the “share” button), then paste into a comment. Victor will be determined on the assumption that there will be no “faithless” electors.
- First tiebreaker: Correct President (If Romney wins 274, a 284 is preferred to 264).
- Second tiebreaker: Closest to Obama national vote percentage (New York Times) as of November 9, 12pm EST.
- Third tiebreaker: Closest to Obama margin-of-victory in percent in Massachusetts (New York Times) as of November 9, 12pm EST.
One vote per person, which we will enforce to the best of our ability.
My map is here. This differs from the prediction I made in January only by the shift of Ohio from Romney to Obama. Obama national vote: 49.8%. Obama MOV in MA: 18.2%
Winner gets a prize selected from the LGM Store.
http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=bbyi
(Obama 294, Romney 244)
Obama nat’l popular vote: 50.5% (because Nate Silver says so)
Obama MOV in MA: 19.2 (same reason)
http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=bgom
(Obama 303, Romney 235)
Obama nat’l popular vote: 49.9%
Obama MOV in MA: 19.9
http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=bknK
O326 (wins Fl, loses Iowa) R 212
Obama nat’l popular vote: 50.9
Obama MOV in MA: 17.3
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