The Chances

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On February 13, 2008
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Jerome Armstrong seems to think that even if Clinton doesn't have the advantage right now, she's still in pretty solid shape. Kos disagrees. By my own analysis, she looks to be in terrible trouble. When I made this analysis, based on some very simple assumptions about...
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Alan Keyes Watch

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On February 13, 2008

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So Alan Keyes wasn't on the Republican ballot in either Virginia or the District of Columbia. Nevertheless, with nearly 70% of Maryland's precincts reporting (9:26 PM Alaska time), he's locked.

Potomac Tuesday Open Thread

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On February 13, 2008
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After New Hampshire, no blowout predictions or any such thing from me. However, VA already called for Obama....D.C. called for Obama at 8:00:01. This is probably not surprising....Democratic turnout appears to be roughly double Republican turnout. In Virginia. To put it more clearly, right now Obama...

Please Please Please

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On February 13, 2008

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If Huckabee wins Virginia, this will be the happiest day of my life.....er, except for my wedding day. Ahem.UPDATE: McCain up by ~150 votes with 29% reporting. Shut the counting.

Campaigns And Rules Matter!

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On February 12, 2008
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Josh Patashnik notes the vote-predicting regressions run by Pablano, which suggest that "if a normal campaign had been conducted in Florida just like everywhere else, there would have been a 12-to-14 point swing in Obama's favor." In some sense, this data is superfluous, because outside the...
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More on Axe

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On February 12, 2008

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Following up on D, Axe has perhaps taken it to a new misogynistic low with their newest add (and here you didn't think they could go any lower). Behold:As Jezebel.

It’s The Media

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On February 12, 2008

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I agree with my colleagues about Krugman's latest column, which is really unworthy of him. To add one more point, it should be noted that Krugman adduces exactly two pieces.

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