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Deep down in Florida

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Democrats won the mayoral election in Miami for the first time this century:

Eileen Higgins will be the next mayor of the city of Miami, according to a projection from CNN’s Decision Desk, breaking a nearly 30-year Republican streak in holding the nonpartisan seat and giving Democrats another example of strong performance in elections during the first year of President Donald Trump’s second term.

Higgins, a former county commissioner, will defeat city manager Emilio Gonzalez, who was endorsed by Trump. She won Tuesday’s runoff after leading the first round of voting on November 4 with 35% of the vote to Gonzalez’s 19%.

Democrats are already riding a wave of momentum after a dominant performance in November’s off-year elections and over-performing their 2024 results in Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District, shrinking a 22-point 2024 margin to single digits in a special election last week.

I have very little confidence that Florida is going to become even a marginal swing state at any point in the medium-term future, but if anything can do it it would be the combination of Trump’s increasingly brutal internal immigration enforcement and turning the racism dial up to 13.

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