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On Palin’s Chances

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Silver’s take is, as always, worth reading.   To me, Palin still clearly has a serious chance of getting the 2012 nomination, and the key is point #3.   The GOP establishment is clearly going to unite against a candidate who might be historically weak, but if there’s a George W. Bush among prospective candidates they can actually focus on as an alternative, I haven’t seen him or her.  And without that the establishment’s ability to control primary voters is highly dubious.

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