I have a piece at Guardian: Comment is Free on the sinking of the South Korean patrol corvette Cheonan. Long story short, I’m betting that there are a lot of people right now hoping that Cheonan blew up accidentally and not as the result of a North Korean torpedo.
… and accident the verdict may be:
The waters around Baeknyeong island are rocky, and some senior government officials speculated that the sinking may have been an accident, not an attack, South Korean media said.
“It’s looking more and more like it was just an accident that happens on a ship,” Carl Baker, an expert on Korean military relations at the Pacific Forum CSIS think tank in Honolulu, said by telephone.