Troy Balderson probably eking out a 1-point victory is Excellent. News. For. John. McCain!
Republicans lost support in every special congressional election since President Trump took office, and Ohio’s 12th District on Tuesday was no exception.
A majority of the seats up for special election have historically leaned solidly to the right, and only two Republicans have lost in these races. Tuesday’s results remained too close to call, but Troy Balderson, the Republican candidate, had the biggest drop in support in all the special elections.
Mr. Balderson’s current margin is 36 percentage points lower than the 2016 margin of Pat Tiberi, the previous representative in that district. The average drop in margin for Republican candidates in special elections held from 2017 to 2018 was more than 20 percentage points.
The fact that there’s even the slightest doubt about whether Democrats will take the House is a serious indictment of America’s electoral system.