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Where are My Missiles?

[ 12 ] October 27, 2010 | Robert Farley

So, the Air Force is still having problems with its nuclear weapons:

The Air Force swears there was no panic. But for three-quarters of an hour Saturday morning, launch control officers at F.E. Warren Air Force Base in Wyoming couldn’t reliably communicate or monitor the status of 50 Minuteman III nuclear missiles. Gulp.

Backup security and communications systems, located elsewhere on the base, allowed the intercontinental ballistic missiles to be continually monitored. But the outage is considered serious enough that the very highest rungs on the chain of command — including the President — are being briefed on the incident today.

A single hardware failure appears to have been the root cause of the disruption, which snarled communications on the network that links the five launch control centers and 50 silos of the 319th Missile Squadron. Multiple error codes were reported, including “launch facility down.”

Whatever the specific cause of this incident, the wider pattern speaks to an organization no longer particularly interested in this mission. ICBMs are no longer sexy; the best officers go into other fields, training and recruitment suffer, and maintenance becomes a problem. Further incidents like this are inevitable.

Moreover, I fail to see the logic of this:

The incident comes at a particularly tricky time for the Obama administration, which is struggling to get the Senate to ratify a nuclear arms reduction treaty with Russia. In conservative political circles, there’s a distrust of the nuclear cuts — and a demand that they be matched with investments in atomic weapon upgrades. Saturday’s shutdown will undoubtedly bolster that view.

Really? The failure of the Air Force to maintain control over 50 ICBMs will bolster the view that the United States needs to invest in a new generation of nuclear weapons? You’ll excuse me if I fail to see how we get from A to B on that one. The nuclear warheads atop the missiles did not fail; communications to the delivery systems did. Having the spiffiest RRW in the whole darned world wouldn’t have mattered a bit, and indeed would have been a profound waste of money if the missiles hadn’t fired. I wasn’t aware that we had to buy into the “This is excellent news for John McCain!” trope every time the Air Force screwed up. New START opponents may well invoke this incident, but there’s no reason that sensible people should pretend to take them seriously.

Comments (12)

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  1. Morbo says:

    This is all obviously Bill Clinton’s fault.

  2. Jason says:

    In reading this Atlantic article, it sounds more like a temporary drop from the centralized command and control process rather than a “loss of control” over the missiles. Not as if they were all of a sudden going to take off on their own, or were in any risk of being taken by Dr. Evil. Nuances…

    • Kurzleg says:

      Can we then assume that this suggests the capacity for some rogue element (or whatever) to control them? Or does it just mean loss of control by the chain of command?

      • Robert Farley says:

        No; I think they were just out of the communications loop, which made it impossible to launch them.

      • BigHank53 says:

        More like the network cable falling out of the back of the printer: printer’s fine, computer’s fine, but no church bulletins for you today. Or nuking Smolensk.

  3. blowback says:

    This “stunt” was engineered by the Royal Navy’s PR team with support from the SBS to distract attention from their little faux pas off Skye with an attack sub.

  4. wengler says:

    Sounds like a Skynet dry run to me.

  5. DrDick says:

    Yes, but they have faith that the mighty, muscular Xtianist God will protect them from harm. The sooner we abolish the air farce, the better.

  6. jon says:

    The lesson is that randomly losing one-tenth of our ground based strategic nuclear launch vehicles had absolutely no effect on our strategic position or security.

  7. Linnaeus says:

    That should be, “Dude, where’s my missiles?”

  8. NBarnes says:

    jon: If I might elaborate on your entirely correct points; if our strategic enemies/opponents/rivals had known in advance that this outage would occur, months in advance, without us knowing that it would happen or that they knew, the entire affair still would have had absolutely no effect on our strategic position or security.

    Which suggests that we could cut our ground-based nuke force by 10%, spend the money on chocolate, and never miss them. The nukes, not the chocolates.

  9. TiVi Mania says:

    This is all obviously Bill Clinton’s fault on Which suggests that we could cut our ground-based nuke force by 10%, spend the money on chocolate, and never miss them. The nukes, not the chocolates

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