This could be problematic. I've been fairly sanguine about Obama's re-election chances, but no incumbent has been re-elected with an unemployment rate over 7.2% since FDR (and the 7.2% belonged to Reagan). It's currently around 9%, and could possibly increase with tomorrow's data. It will...
2012 elections
Many folks on the Twitter seems convinced that the good news about Bin Laden effectively ends the 2012 campaign. This certainly doesn't hurt. But I would point to George H.W..