Im Ukraine Nicht Neues
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The front lines in Ukraine seem to have largely stabilized, even in the south. Russia is stepping up its artillery bombardments of Ukrainian cities, which would seem to suggest a degree of frustration in the lack of military progress. On the diplomatic side there’s still a great deal of uncertainty, with India and the Gulf monarchies (for different reasons) hedging about isolation of Russia. Also take a look at this excellent work by Leeward Mountain (in these very comment threads!) about what the Russians have left in the tank…
Some links…
- Lawrence Freedman on the kind of peace that Russia could afford…
- Ben Denison says well what we have known for quite a while; there’s no way this ends with Russia in a better place.
- Thirty young Ukrainians experience the first days of the war…
- Russia’s long-term economic prospects look ugly…
- A colleague of mine with direct experience of Ukraine did a pod…
I am in the Courier Journal today, talking about the local impact of the war:
One of the most common questions to emerge, alongside “will this lead to World War III” has been “how does this affect us in Kentucky?” One answer to this question is that it’s bad for everyone, everywhere when a large country eats its neighbor. But a more direct answer involves looking at how international events affect the commonwealth.
My department is public facing so we’ve pretty much been on full time BRRRTTTT as far as media stuff goes…
… oh but this should be fun: