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Most of the vaccinated can have something like a normal Memorial Day

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Enjoy yourself, it’s later than you think:

The director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention expressed optimism that millions of vaccinated Americans would be able to safely gather and enjoy their Memorial Day long weekend as new covid-19 infections continue to dip.

“Thanks to vaccines, tens of millions of Americans are able to get back to something closer to normal: visiting friends and family,” Rochelle Walensky said at a White House news conference Tuesday. “These are the events we missed over the last year, and we are now safe … when we are vaccinated.”

At the same time, Walensky warned people who have not been inoculated to continue to take precautions. “We are on a good downward path, but we are not quite out of the woods yet,” she said. “Here’s to the start of blue skies and better days ahead.”

I think it’s hard to grasp the implications of the fact that the vaccines basically make all activities very safe. I haven’t fully grasped it yet myself, really. But it’s true. About 50% of American adults will all things being equal be back to their baseline risk of December 2019 (indeed lower if they live in jurisdictions were people are mostly still wearing masks indoors, as this decreases the transmission of other viruses.) I wouldn’t have dreamed something this effective would have been administered to so many people so quickly, but it’s true.

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