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Tag: "football"

Recap: Evidence Matters

[ 111 ] January 14, 2012 | Scott Lemieux

Saturday’s game is a good lesson in making predictions based on intuition.   The numbers suggest that Alex Smith has become a very serviceable QB, and despite my skepticism played very well against a terrible defense.   The numbers also show that Tim Tebow is really, really terrible, and was he!   Although it’s hard to compete against Belichick’s defensive schemes, which today involved such radical ideas as “covering the other team’s top wideout” and “not running your fourth-and-short defense on every play.”   (The person who should be most embarrassed today is not Tebow, or even his media fluffers, but Dick LeBeau.)

Belated, Brief NFL Preview

[ 32 ] January 7, 2012 | Scott Lemieux

Since I was on the road, I missed the first game (I’m, ah, sure I would have picked the Texans behind the immortal T.J. Yates.) But still time for the other three:

Detroit at New Orleans: What, who’s playing the Saints now? Must be a misprint. Seriously, discipline aside you have to be impressed with how quickly the Lions have recovered from Matt Millen, and also impressed that Stafford has become a top 10 QB. But they’re at least a year early as a playoff contender, playing a terrific team that’s especially good at home, Stafford still ain’t Brees, and the Lions were scored on at will by the Packers’ second-string. Saints -10 1/2.

Pittsburgh at God’s Own Team. Obviously, a huge mismatch. Which, yes, yes, doesn’t mean that a Broncos win is impossible (cf. the Seahawks last year.) Only the Seahawks had someone with some history of being an NFL QB; the Broncos have a guy who’s merely bad when he doesn’t turn the ball over and is Ryan Leaf-caliber when he does. If you think that the Tebow who didn’t generate turnovers is the real one, then the Broncos have a puncher’s chance. Me, I say Steelers -8 with extreme prejudice.

Atlanta at NY Giants This, on the other hand, is as close as it gets. and surprisingly Ryan was as good or better than Manning (the latter of whom has been much better than I thought he would be.) The question of the game is whether the very good Falcons offensive line can protect against the healthier Giants pass rush and allow Ryan to pick on the atrocious Giants secondary. The answer is…I have no idea. But in those circumstances I guess you should take the points. Falcons +3.

The Clutchest QB There Absolutely Ever Was Update

[ 76 ] January 1, 2012 | Scott Lemieux

Tim Tebow is so great that he can get a team coached by Norv Turner to knock someone out of the playoffs!   He Just.  Wins.  Football Games.   To focus against his 20.6 QB rating is to miss the intangible qualities that make him a very, very, very special atrocious quarterback.

The Clutchest QB There Absolutely Ever Was Update

[ 54 ] December 24, 2011 | Scott Lemieux

What happens when a QB playing like Colt McCoy and Josh Freeman and Dan Orlovsky (well, not quite as well as the immortal Orlovsky) despite an unrealistically low turnover rate no longer has the unrealistic variable working for him? The results could be immensely entertaining!

In fairness, you can hardly expect a QB to flourish when entering the House of Pain, an abattoir for quarterbacks if there ever was one. This is 1990, right?

Tim Tebow, Circumciser

[ 52 ] November 1, 2011 | Erik Loomis

Dave Zirin’s piece on Tebow’s disastrous performance and his aggressive evangelicalism links to this very disturbing 2008 news story of Tim Tebow going to the Philippines to circumcise young boys

On the recent weeklong trip to the orphanage his father’s ministry runs in Southeast Asia, Tim assisted in the care of more than 250 Filipinos who underwent medical and dental procedures, including circumcision.

Tim’s original task was to preach to the hundreds of people waiting in line before they had their teeth pulled or cysts removed. But as the day progressed, he looked for more active ways to help the three Filipino doctors. By the end of an exhausting day, he was wearing gloves and a mask, wielding surgical scissors, and helping the doctors in the circumcision of boys, finishing off stitches with a snip.:

Um. Whoa. Wow.

I know that some are saying people are going overboard with the Tebow hatred. But he makes it so easy. And really, what are the chances we are seeing the beginning of a very scary political career here? Way too high.

The Most Racist Team in Professional Sports

[ 27 ] October 31, 2011 | Erik Loomis

Michael Tomasky’s excellent piece on the Washington Redskins, a team whose owner, George Marshall, made the team identity his own virulent racism, is well worth a read. The Redskins were the last team in the NFL to integrate, in 1962 when Marshall was also openly supporting southern segregationists against the civil rights movement. Moreover, the person responsible for its integration was, of all people, Stewart Udall, who forced Marshall’s hand when he wanted Department of Interior land to build a new stadium.

Tebow and Our Galtian Overlords

[ 95 ] October 24, 2011 | Scott Lemieux

This story certainly sounds familiar:

At this point, the Denver Broncos’ attitude toward Tebow seems to be that you can hide making a mistake if you insist on making it repeatedly while loudly proclaiming that it’s the opposite of a mistake. It’s like the supply-side economics of talent. The Broncos invested a #1 pick in him, and if they just keep reinvesting in the top-tier, benefits will eventually rain down on all. Reality can go suck it.

But don’t kid yourself, the five minutes of decent football he played against an awful team coached by an utter yutz who’s the lamest of lame ducks proves that he has that DavidWillie EcksteinBloomquist Essence Du Scrappy White Winner to propel your team to success, the fact that he belongs in an NFL starting job about as much as Gino Torretta notwithstanding…

Apparently, Reports of the Death of Al Davis Were Premature

[ 36 ] October 18, 2011 | Scott Lemieux

I’m not saying that the good start of the Bengals isn’t at least mildly surprising, but I think a lot of writers were missing the fact that Carson Palmer hasn’t been a good quarterback in three years.   Getting two first-rounders for him is a real coup for Cincinnati.

Al Davis

[ 27 ] October 17, 2011 | Robert Farley

I came into football awareness in the late 70s and early 80s in Sacramento, California.  The choice in football lay between the Raiders and 49ers, and for reasons I can’t fully explain I chose to love the Raiders and hate the Niners.  This persisted in spite of the Raiders move to Los Angeles; by that time I identified closely enough with the team that I hated those who hated it. This meant, of course, that I developed a healthy lack of respect for the NFL and for establishment sports media at an early age.

I don’t know much about Davis’ political leanings, although apparently his father was a Taft Republican.  The Raiders donated more money to the Democratic Party than the Republican, but this would not be unusual for a team that bounced between Los Angeles and Oakland.  Davis did hire the first Latino head coach, and the first black head coach of the modern era.  Davis had a reputation for generosity with his players, although this doesn’t mean that he supported any structural efforts on their behalf.  Indeed, Davis understood his relationship with the players in personal terms, supporting Howie Long’s devastating decision to cross the picket lines in the 1987 strike.   And of course, Davis knew how to hate.

What to say about Davis and Marcus Allen?  Davis lost faith in Allen on November 30, 1986, when Allen fumbled in overtime on what should have been the winning drive against the Philadelphia Eagles.  The Raiders were 8-4 at the time, but they lost the last four games of the season, including an awful 37-0 defeat at the hands of the Seahawks.  It was twenty-four years ago, but I swear I remember the fumble like yesterday; I was crushed in the way that only a 13 year can be crushed.  It was very, very easy for me to blame the Raiders’ collapse on Allen, and so on some level I understood Davis’ reluctance to rely on Allen.  But then, I was 13 year old; Davis was fifty-eight, and should have known better.

But… The Raiders drafted Bo Jackson in part because of Davis’ skepticism about Marcus Allen, and it turned out that hey, Bo Jackson was actually better than Marcus Allen.  Jackson didn’t become a Raider by accident; he was precisely the kind of player that Davis was interested in, and the Raiders targeted him because of the feud.  The Jackson-Allen 1-2 punch almost made up for the fact that the Raiders were trying to put together an elite team with helmed by Jay Schroeder, although this was itself a result of Davis’ weird attitude about Steve Beuerlein.

As I understand it, Davis’ player acquisition strategy was guided by an emphasis on athletic ability over demonstrated football skills.  The Raiders thus aimed for players of outstanding physical ability, without specifically trying to fill holes in the offense or defense.  As a strategy, this seems to have made sense for the first two and half decades of the Raiders existence, and less so afterward.  I don’t think that this is accidental; as the NFL (and the NCAA) matured in terms of physical training and scouting, it became harder to find “athletes” who were undervalued because of their lack of skills.  This is to say that NFL teams began to appropriately correct for lack of skill in their acquisition, just as the gap covering raw athletic ability narrowed.  By the 1990s, the Raiders were drafting players like Ricky Dudley, who had Hall of Fame caliber athletic ability but who couldn’t catch the ball.  Under Davis’ influence, the Raiders were never able to update this acquisition strategy.

That said, the thing I hold most against Davis is a departure from the focus on athletic ability, which was the drafting of Todd Marinovich.  Not much serious thought seems to have gone into this, beyond the notion that Marinovich was somehow undervalued because of his attitude.  Turned out that Marinovich just sucked, and that he didn’t even fit into the Raiders offensive scheme.  If there’s one thing I can’t forgive, it’s that Al Davis made me believe in Todd.

Nevertheless, he was a remarkable individual, and football would have been poorer without him.

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Al Davis

[ 30 ] October 8, 2011 | Erik Loomis

Al Davis, dead.

I feel like I should be able to make a funny joke here, maybe something about Davis deciding that Satan would make a really fast wide receiver despite his inability to catch. Or maybe something about Davis drinking the blood of live goats. But really, I can’t say too much more than Davis was one of the most remarkable figures in the history of American sport.

Greatest Comparison of Obama to Hitler Ever

[ 42 ] October 3, 2011 | Erik Loomis

After doing this very thing, or more specifically saying that John Boehner playing golf with Barack Obama was like Benjamin Netanyahu playing golf with Adolf Hitler, ESPN has suspended Hank Williams, Jr. from doing his hideous Monday Night Football “Are You Ready for Some Football” intro bit.

As Hank Hill once said, “Hank Williams was the greatest country singer who ever lived. Hank Williams Jr. destroyed Monday Night Football.” Indeed.

Is it too much to hope for that Faith Hill turns out to be a Satanist or something and NBC kills her awful Sunday Night Football intro? This seems like a very reasonable thing to hope for to me.

Also, is everyone else as excited for Hank Jr.’s upcoming Senate bid from Tennessee?

Fleeced

[ 37 ] July 13, 2011 | Erik Loomis

Great WSJ story on how the Cincinnati Bengals completely fleeced Hamilton County taxpayers for their stadium, creating a long-term county budget crisis that is crippling the region. My favorite part:

Given the national economic slump, the county budget would have run into trouble with or without the Bengals deal. But county officials say the cuts are deeper and longer lasting because of it. Unlike most areas of the budget, the stadium can’t be pared.

“It’s the monster that ate the public sector,” says Mark Reed, Hamilton County’s juvenile court administrator.

Like many other items in the budget, the juvenile court has seen its funding slashed—by $13.4 million from 2008 to 2010. It was forced to nix funding for programs like Youth, Inc., which worked with troubled adolescents.

Publicly funded stadiums for sports teams owned by billionaires are always a bad idea, but it seems that Cincinnati civic leaders were extra good at playing the sucker.

But hey, at least the product on the field has been consistently first-rate!

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