Tag: 2012 Republican Primary

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Things That Will Not Happen

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On December 10, 2011
A successful last-minute Republican candidate. Or, of course, that perennial media fantasy, the brokered convention. The big problem with Silver’s analysis is that it just uses polling data to tell us what we already know: Romney isn’t very popular among the Republican base, and there was a huge opportunity for an orthodox conservative to surpass […]

Newtmentum!

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On November 15, 2011

I understand horse-race reporters need something to talk about and there does seem to be a surge in the polls, but to say that it’s now a Romney/Gingrich race is just another way of saying that

PUMA II: Electric Boogaloo

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On November 11, 2011
If I were a teabagger, I wouldn’t be eager to accept that Romney is inevitable either. But he is inevitable, small groups of dead-enders notwithstanding. Perry was already dead before his latest embarrassment and he was the last chance. You can’t beat something with people who are either politically toxic, not really running for president, […]

Pawlenty’s Premature Exit

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On November 1, 2011
I think this is correct. In a field that has no logical winner, it seems pretty obvious that the closest thing to an orthodox conservative capable of speaking in complete sentences should have stayed in.  (Both McCain and Kerry, after all, didn’t look like they had much of a chance at various points either.)   In […]

Ruh-Roh

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On October 30, 2011

I’m not going to say, exactly, that this story affects Cain’s chances of getting the nomination. I think this changes them from zero to zero. But it certainly doesn’t help. Share

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