After New Hampshire, no blowout predictions or any such thing from me. However, VA already called for Obama....D.C. called for Obama at 8:00:01. This is probably not surprising....Democratic turnout appears to be roughly double Republican turnout. In Virginia. To put it more clearly, right now...
2008 democratic primary
Josh Patashnik notes the vote-predicting regressions run by Pablano, which suggest that "if a normal campaign had been conducted in Florida just like everywhere else, there would have been a.
I agree with my colleagues about Krugman's latest column, which is really unworthy of him. To add one more point, it should be noted that Krugman adduces exactly two pieces.
As bean notes, Hilzoy has a good response to Krugman...I have no doubt that most of the venom that Krugman sees comes from Obama supporters. He has, after all, been on an anti-Obama tear for several months now. But he is an economist, and economists...
So, Patti Solis Doyle, Hillary Clinton's campaign manager, is out. She's being replaced by longtime Clinton advisor Maggie Williams. The Clinton camp insists that this is no nervous nellie shakeup..
Yglesias points out the problems with Ambinder's claim that "Obama cannot win the states where the majority of Democrats reside": i.e. it's a more tendentious way of saying that "Clinton.
Yes, it's over, but it's still pretty remarkable that McCain is going to get swept tonight by Mike Huckabee. On the other side, the Maine caucus tomorrow should be fascinating; Obama absolutely crushed Clinton tonight, and I have to wonder whether it's going to have...
Scott and Matt's rather under-analyzed prediction of a Clinton victory pushed me to make a quick and dirty assessment of my own. Here are the states I expect Obama to.
This is pretty funny, but it raises the same question in my mind now that was in place on Tuesday: How did Clinton get so badly outplayed in the western.
Via Yglesias, Rodger Payne gives some solid reasons for preferring Obama to Clinton on Cuba policy:Last summer, however, Obama wrote an op-ed for the Miami Herald calling for the US to ease up on some aspects of the economic embargo toward Cuba...Obama has also voted...
I agree with Ezra that it would be unfortunate for the nomination to come down to superdelegates, and I would hope that there would be a norm among many superdelegates.
This is good...The Democratic National Committee is pressuring Michigan and Florida to hold Democratic presidential caucuses so the delegates they've lost for holding January primaries can be seated at the.