Tag: 2008 democratic primary

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Spitzer and the Candidates

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In Uncategorized
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On March 11, 2008
I’m so sick of the Spitzer talk. Yet here I am. Jon Wiener over at the Nation’s blog the Notion suggests how the Spitzer scandal is going to play out in the Democratic primary: it’ll help Hillary Clinton because she–or any other woman–won’t be a patron of the Emperor’s Club. Sure, it’s snort-inducing: would be […]

QOTD

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On March 11, 2008

Ezra: If Hillary Clinton were a black man, it’s unlikely that she would have been a national political figure for the past 15 years, as it’s unlikely that she would have married another ma

The Right Call

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On March 6, 2008

Howard Dean says that delegates will not be seated based on the Michigan and Florida straw polls, but would be willing to sanction delegates based on an actual election agreed to by both campaigns. Th

The Long Primary

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In Uncategorized
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On March 5, 2008
Kevin Drum, citing 1968, says that Democrat’s needn’t panic. I don’t really buy the historical analogy for a reason that can be summed up in two words: George Wallace. Without him in the race to split the white supremacist vote that went for Goldwater in 1964, Nixon almost certainly wins in a massive landslide. For […]

Worst Case Scenario

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On March 5, 2008

It looks increasingly likely: Obama, assuming something like his 10-point lead in the Texas caucuses holds up, will win Texas by the metric that actually matters for determining the nomination and ove

The Obvious Recognized

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On March 5, 2008

Ohio finally called for Clinton. It also looks increasingly like she’ll narrowly win the vote in the Texas primary — when was the last time that an updated vote count significantly improve

Super Tuesday Part Deux

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On March 4, 2008

My worth-very-little guess is that the most likely outcome is that (with Clinton winning OH and RI, and Obama carrying VT) Obama wins the delegates in Texas and Clinton squeaks out a popular vote vict

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