PLAAF H-6K Bomber By 日本防衛省·統合幕僚監部 – , CC BY 4.0
Given that President Trump has decided that China is where he’ll demonstrate his toughness and resolvitude, here are five areas of potential conflict between Beijing and Washington:
Even prior to his inauguration, President Trump has (for good or ill) unsettled the relationship between the United States and China. While Trump’s dovish instincts on Russia are well known, he (and his team) have suggested a far more controversial stance in the Asia-Pacific. Here are five areas in which both Washington and Beijing will need to tread carefully:
The National Interest asked me to contribute a piece on Plan Z:
In the mid-1930s, the Nazi government began to plan in detail for the reconstruction of German naval power. The destruction of the German High Seas Fleet at Scapa Flow remained central to the mythology of German betrayal and defeat in World War I; rebuilding the fleet would be a grand achievement worthy of the Nazis, but also in accord with long-term German foreign policy goals.
I’m on the mailing list for a few defense-oriented DC think tanks, mostly so I can stay abreast of what people are working on. Occasionally, though, I have the chance to spend some time in DC, and have the good luck to be able to attend a roll out. Three quarters of the point of attendance is to see folks and make connections, something that’s doubly important when you only make it to DC three or four times a year. The other quarter point is to find good material for writing. Such was the CNAS “Future Foundry” event on the future of the US defense industry:
Two weeks ago, the Center for New American Security released a new report on the future of U.S. defense innovation. Titled Future Foundry, the report introduces the concept of “optionality,” an interpretation of the Third Offset; the idea that the United States can leverage technological advantage to offset the rise of China and the military re-emergence of Russia.
I can also, for those who have maintained their strong mooch instincts, that CNAS lays out a lovely breakfast buffet.
This Friday, I’ll be speaking at the New York Military Affairs Symposium on Grounded:
Should also be available in podcast form at a later date…
Last month’s DC Meetup was so fabulously successful that we’re planning to do it again. Several front-pagers will be gathering in Manhattan on Saturday, January 7. We have tentatively scheduled the meetup for 3pm at Fool’s Gold (145 E. Houston Street). We’re pretty solid on the time, but may adjust the location before Saturday; we’ll keep you informed. Facebook event page here; RSVPs appreciated, but not necessary.
Here are the top ten posts from 2016:
- Goodbye (Farley)
- Maureen Dowd is a National Embarrassment (Lemieux)
- Trump-inspired classism (Watkins)
- The Party Left Me and Other Complaints of the Voter-as-Atomistic-Consumer (Lemieux)
- If lawyers make too much money why is Matt Breunig panhandling on the internet? (Campos)
- The game is the game (Campos)
- Don’t Look at Us, We Didn’t Do It (Lemieux)
- Delete Your Column (Lemieux)
- The Rubiobot is No Poet and They Don’t Know it (Lemieux)
- Nefarious LGM (Campos)
That’s right; Loomis is shut out of the top ten. Sad!
Other random insights from Google Analytics:
- 35-44 (25.75%)
- 45-54 (22.97%
- 55-64 (21.20%)
- 25-34 (19.50%)
- 65+ (7.43%)
- US (87.63%)
- Canada (4.17%)
- UK (2.45%)
- Australia (1.03%)
- Germany (.56%)
- California (14.52%)
- New York (10.63%)
- Massachusetts (5.07%)
- Illinois (4.96%)
- Washington (4.86%)
Top Traffic Days:
- November 8
- November 9
- November 21
- October 11
- March 14
Total Posts: 3267
Total Comments: 348621
Thanks for enduring 2016 with us!
By László Szalai (Beyond silence) – Own work, Public Domain, Link
Some links for your Wednesday:
In other news, I have continued to update our SEK: In Memorium page. If you know of any good remembrances that I’ve missed, please list them in comments.
Japanese high-level bombing attack on HMS Prince of Wales and HMS Repulse
Wrote a piece earlier this month on the destruction of Force Z:
Seventy five years ago, the Western Allies suffered a catastrophic defeat in the Pacific. Japanese aircraft devastated an allied naval force, sinking the most effective battleships in the fleet. Japan’s aerial victory opened much of Asia up to invasion, giving the Imperial Japanese Navy a clear field for undertaking its grand offensive. The attack demonstrated conclusively that the battleship, the primary capital ship of fleets since the late 19th century, could no longer project independent of air support.
By Bonechiller11 – Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, Link
They’re coming after George Ciccariello-Maher, for the crime of mocking White Nationalists. See Corey Robin for details. In terms of action…
You can contact the following leaders of Drexel at these addresses below. Be polite, be civil, and point out that the American Association of University Professors is very clear that extramural political speech ought to be protected.
Drexel’s President John Anderson Fry: email@example.com
Drexel Provost M. Bryan Blake: firstname.lastname@example.org [and/or try this one: email@example.com]
Drexel Media Relations Executive Director Niki Gianakaris: firstname.lastname@example.org
Estonian Land Force XA-180. By Sgt. Freddy G. Cantu – http://www.defenseimagery.mil/imagery.html#guid=b19f5ae461d5a36afea5ed2469fa3268aa50a44d, Public Domain, Link
Wrote a piece at TNI on potential areas for global crisis that might find themselves exacerbated in the near future:
The Trump administration enters office in an unsettled time. For a variety of reasons (some directly connected to Trump’s rhetoric), the great powers face more uncertainty than at any time in recent memory. In the first few months of Trump’s presidency (indeed, perhaps even before his presidency begins) the United States will have to navigate several extremely dangerous flashpoints that could ignite, then escalate, conflict between the US, Russia, and China.
Heavy Cruiser HIJMS Haguro
If you’re anything like me, you enjoy spending your Christmas Eve remembering massive military offensives of years’ past:
Japan’s massive offensive to conquer Southeast Asia began to unfold seventy-five years ago this week. In territorial extent, it is among the largest, most successful series of military operations ever conducted. The Japanese offensive managed to destroy the front line naval assets of two peer competitors, sinking seven capital ships without loss. It also managed to capture the greater portion of what is now ASEAN, the most economically dynamic region in the world. Although Japan would only hold the territory for four years, the offensive helped end formal colonialism in East Asia.