Home / General / Will Donald Trump be a GAME-CHANGER Who Can BULLY PULPIT the OVERTON WINDOW?

Will Donald Trump be a GAME-CHANGER Who Can BULLY PULPIT the OVERTON WINDOW?

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8.-Michael-Douglas--The-American-President

I see Donald Trump is trying the same tactics people that some people are convinced would have led to a much better ACA but Obama Didn’t. Even. Try:

President Trump stormed Capitol Hill on Tuesday to sell the House Republican leadership’s plan to overhaul the health-care system, warning his party that not passing the legislation would yield a political crisis and sweeping electoral defeats.

The president addressed a closed-door meeting of House Republicans days before the measure is expected to come to a vote on the House floor.

Trump used both charm and admonishment as he made his case, reassuring skittish members that they would gain seats in Congress if the bill passed — and singling out Rep. Mark Meadows (R-N.C.), the chairman of the hard-line House Freedom Caucus, in front of colleagues.

“I’m gonna come after you, but I know I won’t have to, because I know you’ll vote ‘yes,’ ” Trump said, according to several Republican lawmakers who attended the meeting. “Honestly, a loss is not acceptable, folks.”

And you have to admit his political analysis is pretty shrewd:

“If we get this done, and tax reform, he believes we pick up 10 seats in the Senate and we add to our majority in the House,” said Rep. Chris Collins (R-N.Y.), the first member of Congress who endorsed Trump’s presidential bid. “If we don’t get it done, we lose the House and the Senate.”

Sure, seems plausible that passing a massively unpopular bill will be worth +10 in the Senate for the in party.

Anyway, I think Sean McElwee has the basic dynamic exactly right:

If the Freedom Caucus kills TrumpCare by voting no and attacking it from the right, it will hurt Trump and Ryan much more than it hurts them. I don’t think there’s much leverage to be used against them if they’re determined to stop the bill; the question is how determined they are.

Ryan’s best chance of passing a bill would be to make it even more wingutty and drop it on the Senate’s lap and let them kill it. But Ryan and Trump want something that can actually pass the Senate for a variety of reasons but most importantly because they’d prefer that the next round of upper-class tax cuts be permanent rather than having to sunset. But getting the House to pass anything that would have a chance in the Senate will not be easy, and hopefully it will fail.

Of course, we also have to hope that Donald Trump doesn’t try writing down the names of marginal House votes on index cards, because then we’d be totally doomed.

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