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In the Eye of a Hurricane, There Is Quiet…

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The USS Ronald Reagan
USS Ronald Reagan, by Photographer’s Mate 3rd Class Elizabeth Thompson – Licensed under Public Domain via Commons.

My latest at the National Interest looks at some potential sparks for World War V:

Since 1756, the modern-state system has experienced four global wars; The Seven Years War, The French Revolutionary Wars, World War I, and World War II. The longest global peace came between 1815 and 1914, and it has now been seventy years since the last world war.

“World War III” would, in effect, be the fifth World War in the history of the modern state system. What might spark such a war, and how would it escalate into a global conflict? Here are five potential scenarios, none likely, but all possible:

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